Bioniskā pop māksliniece Viktorija Modesta viesojas Latvijā


Deju lieluzvedumā izdejo Latvijas novadus

Partiju reitingi: jūnijā fundamentālu izmaiņu nav

June party ratings make interesting reading as October election looms

Take note – story published 1 year ago

With the next Saeima elections approaching fast on October 1, political parties continue to jostle for position. According to the lastest poll conducted by SKDS for Latvian Television, there are as yet no major swings evident in political support, with the top three positions remaining unchanged and a large proportion of voters still undecided or apathetic.

The New Unity (JV) party of Prime Minister Krišjānis Kariņš remains in the lead, albeit with less than a 10% share of the potential vote.

Second place is held by another coalition party, the National Alliance (NA, 7%), neck and neck with the opposition Harmony party (S, 7%) with the same level of support. Among the top three, New Unity is the only one to have increased its share from May to June.

Another coalition party, For Development/For! (A/P 5.7%) is in fourth spot, while the opposition Greens and Farmers Union (ZZS, 5.5%) slips to fifth.

The Progressives (P, 5.2%) are likely to be among the happiest of the bunch, having seen their support grow by 1.2% during the last month. They are not currently represented in Saeima but now seem to have a golden opportunity to pick up seats if they can maintain such a level of support.

The Conservatives (K, 3.2%), continue to trail their coalition partners but have managed to increase their share slightly, while the relatively new Latvia In First Place (LPV, 3%) party is the only other party mustering 3% support.

In order to win seats in partliament, a party needs to attract at least 5% of ballots cast (not 5% of eligible votes!). According to SKDS/LTV's projections, if elections were held tomorrow, we could expect to see seven parties represented, with a few others close to the 5% threshold.

However, all such predicitions are made in the shadow of one other important fact: the very high levels of voters who say they are yet to decide who to vote for (27.5%) and those who say they do not intend to vote at all (14%). Combined, that means more than 40%  of the electorate can be considered "floating" and therefore likely to be the targets of politicians' powers of persuasion as election day looms.  

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