Swedbank: 'consumer friendly' prices here for a while

Swedbank said Monday evening that Latvia's current low-inflation environment was likely to stay around for the medium term.

Responding to figures showing inflation at 0% on the year in July and dropping by 1% from June, Swedbank said:

"The monthly deflation was at sharp 1.0%, which is the swiftest decline in the last 18 years. Sharper than on average seasonal decline in the prices of clothing and footwear (by 7.9% in monthly terms), seasonal decrease in food prices (0.9%) as well as decline in the price of natural gas (8.7%) and heat energy (3.6%) contributed the most to the drop."

"Price growth will continue to be consumer-friendly in the forthcoming months as well - growing very modestly, or even declining slightly in some of the months." 

"A hike in excise tax for alcohol products as of 1st of August, and an increase in the price of education due to the increase in the tuition fee for some of the study programs in the University of Latvia might have a marginal impact on the price growth in next months.

Additionally, at the end of the year, the growth is likely to accelerate due to the base effects in oil prices starting to disappear. Overall though, consumer price growth this year is expected to be very humble, it is likely that it will be slightly lower than the April forecast of 0.8%."

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