Election results: the expert view

With more than nine-tenths of the results in Latvia's 13th Saeima elections counted, the share of the vote won by each party looks clearer by the minute. Harmony topped the poll with 19% of the vote followed by newcomers KPV LV on 14%, the New Conservatives on 13%, For Development/For! on 11%, the National Alliance on 11%, the Greens and Farmers Union on 10% and New Unity on 6% (based on incomplete data).

Filips Rajevskis on 2018 Saeima election resultsMike Collier/LSM

    LSM tracked down two political commentators in the studios of LTV and asked them about the results and the likely shape of the next Latvian government.

    Filips Rajevskis said the process of forming a government would be a war of attrition rather than a swift battle, and that it would require several parties to make significant concessions in order to team up. He also suggested the barnstorming antics of KPV LV might be rained in if the party was to transition from voluble opponent of the existing coalition to integral part of the next government.

    Meanwhile Iveta Kažoka agreed that the government formation process would be extremely lengthy and a new government would likely not be in place until next year.

    Iveta Kažoka on 2018 Saeima electionsMike Collier/LSM
       

      She also reflected on the possible causes of record-low voter turnout and speculated about possible shifts in voting patterns, with more research planned to probe the reasons why people are simply not voting in the numbers they used to.

       

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