Final pre-election polls promise a thrilling finish

Take note – story published 9 years and 7 months ago

With just one day left until all of Latvia's polling stations open for parliamentary elections, the last round of pre-election polls suggest this could be the closest, most complex race in years. 

An October 1 poll by the Norstat polling company predicted the 100-seats in Saeima would be divided by five parties: Harmony (30), Unity (30), Latvia From The Heart (14), Greens and Farmers (13) and National Alliance (13).

That would give the current ruling coalition a narrow 6-seat majority.

Then on October 2 the SKDS pollster predicted markedly different results: Harmony (31), Unity (20), Greens and Farmers (19), National Alliance (15) and Latvia From The Heart (15).

In that scenario, the current coalition would have a wafer-thin majority of 4, with 54 seats in total.

However, SKDS also reported that more than 17% of voters had yet to make up their minds, making any predictions decidedly dangerous.

It also places intense pressure on party leaders to win over wavering voters during Friday night's final pre-election debate, which will be screened live on LTV1 at 21.15 Riga time. 

If nothing else, it should at least ensure that sitting up and watching the result roll in on Saturday night and Sunday morning will be an edge-of-the-seat experience for all involved.

The Central Election Commission (CVK) reported Friday that during the three days of advance voting for people unable to cast their ballot on Saturday, 30,371 people voted, equivalent to 2% of the electorate. Half the advance votes were cast in Riga.


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